Methodology
Definitions, sources, sample windows, caveats, and paper-section references for every series the site exposes.
ρ_IBOR — money-market CIP deviation (IBOR-based)
- Formula
- ρ_IBOR = i^IBOR_USD − (i^IBOR_FX − (f − s)/τ); negative ρ_IBOR ⇒ USD-funding cheaper synthetically, i.e., positive USD convenience
- Sources
- USD LIBOR / IBOR pre-reform; same-tenor foreign IBOR
- Bloomberg FX spot and forward points
- Sample window
- 2002-04 – 2024-10
- Caveats
- IBORs carry bank credit risk and panel-quote-driven idiosyncrasies.
- Coverage thins for some EME currencies pre-2007.
- Paper
- Du, Tepper, Verdelhan (2018); methodology §2
- Citation
- Du–Tepper–Verdelhan (2018), Du–Im–Schreger (2018)
ρ_SOFR — money-market CIP deviation (alternative-benchmark)
- Formula
- Same form as ρ_IBOR but using post-reform alternative benchmarks (e.g., SOFR vs SARON, SONIA, €STR) on both legs.
- Sources
- SOFR (USD), SARON (CHF), SONIA (GBP), €STR (EUR), TONAR (JPY), etc.
- OIS swap rates from Bloomberg
- Sample window
- 2018-01 – 2024-10 (thinly populated before benchmark transitions)
- Caveats
- Coverage starts at different dates per currency, as alternative benchmarks were adopted unevenly.
- For most currencies the rate is overnight; tenor structure built via OIS swaps.
- Paper
- Du, Keerati, Schreger (2025); §2
- Citation
- Du–Keerati–Schreger (2025)
Government-bond CIP (spliced IBOR/OIS)
- Formula
- Swapped foreign government bond yield (in USD via the same-currency benchmark swap) minus the US Treasury yield of the same tenor. Sign convention: positive values indicate the U.S. Treasury yields LESS than the swapped foreign bond — i.e., U.S. Treasury convenience is positive against that country. The series uses the IBOR-based swap leg up to each (currency, tenor)'s benchmark transition date and the OIS-based swap leg after — see the splice methodology.
- Sources
- Foreign government bond yields (Bloomberg generic yields)
- US Treasury par yields (Bloomberg)
- Currency-specific IBOR and OIS swap curves
- Sample window
- 2002-04 – 2024-10
- Caveats
- The IBOR→OIS transition happens on different dates per (currency, tenor); the spliced series respects each row's break date.
- Negative values mean the swapped foreign bond yields LESS than the U.S. Treasury — i.e., the foreign sovereign is more convenient than the Treasury at that tenor (the decoupling finding).
- Paper
- Du, Keerati, Schreger (2025); §3
- Citation
- Du–Keerati–Schreger (2025), Du–Im–Schreger (2018)
Government-bond CIP (IBOR leg only)
- Formula
- Same form as cip_govt but uses the IBOR-based swap leg across the entire sample, including post-reform.
- Sources
- Foreign government bond yields
- US Treasury par yields
- IBOR swap curves
- Sample window
- 2002-04 – 2024-10
- Caveats
- Exposed deliberately only for the 'show both legs separately' toggle — not the default plotting series.
- Post-reform IBOR quotes may not reflect liquid markets.
- Paper
- Du, Keerati, Schreger (2025); §3
- Citation
- Du–Keerati–Schreger (2025)
Government-bond CIP (OIS / SOFR leg only)
- Formula
- Same form as cip_govt but uses the alternative-benchmark swap leg across the entire sample, including pre-reform where data permits.
- Sources
- Foreign government bond yields
- US Treasury par yields
- OIS swap curves
- Sample window
- 2018-01 – 2024-10 (thinly populated before 2021 for most currencies)
- Caveats
- Exposed deliberately only for the 'show both legs separately' toggle.
- Pre-reform coverage requires OIS curves that may not have existed for some currencies.
- Paper
- Du, Keerati, Schreger (2025); §3
- Citation
- Du–Keerati–Schreger (2025)